Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.863617 0.989957 1.127487 1.288203 1.470752 1.671547 1.909054
2024-12-15 0.721099 0.902946 1.117859 1.390091 1.725254 2.123908 2.633595
2024-12-22 0.586926 0.797708 1.066463 1.433056 1.918800 2.538965 3.389391
2024-12-29 0.494269 0.724980 1.040576 1.501444 2.154581 3.043954 4.343359
2025-01-05 0.404291 0.637240 0.977674 1.507565 2.306982 3.462355 5.251821
2025-01-12 0.342827 0.577821 0.942976 1.545850 2.509159 3.979288 6.380422
2025-01-19 0.281270 0.505398 0.874600 1.519148 2.606337 4.352411 7.349236
2025-01-26 0.248812 0.474173 0.865799 1.585228 2.859878 5.003710 8.851345
2025-02-02 0.224551 0.452224 0.868157 1.669374 3.155171 5.762960 10.639822
2025-02-09 0.195843 0.416090 0.838382 1.689881 3.339513 6.355190 12.220163
2025-02-16 0.169979 0.380201 0.802376 1.691611 3.487527 6.899796 13.786334
2025-02-23 0.148782 0.349580 0.771047 1.696416 3.640443 7.471195 15.476537
2025-03-02 0.130930 0.323074 0.744448 1.708367 3.813561 8.112988 17.409720
2025-03-09 0.118016 0.305186 0.733190 1.751269 4.058155 8.931544 19.814024
2025-03-16 0.103435 0.280291 0.701895 1.744360 4.194070 9.544535 21.876363
2025-03-23 0.093850 0.265807 0.692127 1.785317 4.443289 10.432050 24.647754
2025-03-30 0.082176 0.243368 0.659102 1.764838 4.546658 11.012195 26.816799
2025-04-06 0.074354 0.229703 0.645584 1.790424 4.764332 11.880108 29.757352
2025-04-13 0.064558 0.208259 0.607883 1.747201 4.804583 12.338572 31.797977
2025-04-20 0.060358 0.202435 0.611278 1.814017 5.136636 13.541551 35.791165
2025-04-27 0.057305 0.199494 0.622232 1.903579 5.542366 14.978577 40.546724
2025-05-04 0.052197 0.188858 0.609081 1.922622 5.760045 15.967946 44.293763
2025-05-11 0.047083 0.177028 0.590202 1.921735 5.922252 16.834626 47.833885